MILWAUKEE (September 8, 2009) – U.S. employers plan to keep their staffing levels relatively
stable during Quarter 4 2009, according to the seasonally adjusted results of the latest
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey, conducted quarterly by Manpower Inc.
"The hiring intentions of U.S. companies continue to be sluggish," said Manpower Inc.
Chairman and CEO Jeff Joerres. "While there are areas within the U.S. which are showing an
uptick, we have yet to see the robust hiring intentions that would indicate a full labor market
recovery."
Of the more than 28,000 employers surveyed, a significant 69% expect no change in
their October – December hiring plans. Twelve percent anticipate an increase in staff levels,
while 14% expect a decrease in payrolls, resulting in a Net Employment Outlook of -2%. After
seasonal adjustment, the Net Employment Outlook becomes -3%, the weakest in the history of
the survey, which began in 1962. The final 5% of employers indicated they were undecided
about their hiring intentions.
“Despite some moderating signs, such as the considerable number of employers that
plan to maintain or increase staff levels, there will continue to be challenges for both job seekers
and employers in the coming months,” said Jonas Prising, Manpower president of the Americas.
“Hiring in the Wholesale & Retail Trade sector, for instance, is expected to be down in the fourth
quarter, suggesting that employers will not be adding the quantity of holiday hires they have in
the past.”
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey Q4 2009
The national survey data shows employers in the Mining, Information, Financial Activities
and Other Services industry sectors expect hiring to remain relatively stable in Quarter 4 2009
when compared to Quarter 3 2009. Employers in the Durable and Non-Durable Goods
Manufacturing, Wholesale & Retail Trade and Government sectors anticipate a slight decrease
in hiring levels. Transportation & Utilities and Professional & Business Services employers
predict a moderate decrease, while those in the Construction and Leisure & Hospitality sectors
indicate considerably weaker hiring plans when compared to Quarter 3 2009. Education &
Health Services employers anticipate a modest increase in hiring activity for Quarter 4 2009.
All of the survey regions have considerably weaker employment outlooks compared to
one year ago at this time. In comparison to the third quarter, the seasonally adjusted data
reveals the Northeast has the weakest Outlook, the West and Midwest are relatively stable, and
the South shows a slight increase in employer optimism.
About the Survey
Employment services company Manpower Inc. releases the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
quarterly to measure employers’ intentions to increase or decrease the number of employees in their
workforce during the next quarter. It is the only forward-looking survey of its kind, unparalleled in size,
scope, longevity and area of focus.
The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey’s United States results are based on interviews with more
than 28,000 employers located within 200 Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs), as defined by the
federal government, and one MSA in Puerto Rico. The mix of U.S. industries within the survey follows the
North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) Supersectors and is structured to be
representative of the U.S. economy. The national survey carries a margin of error of +/- .49%.
The complete results and visuals from the U.S. national Manpower Employment Outlook Survey are
available for download at http://www.us.manpower.com/meos, where you will also find the survey results
for the 201 MSAs.
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